A YEAR AND A HALF TREND ANALYSIS AND SPATIAL DISTRIBUTION OF COVID-19 CASES IN PALEMBANG

Authors

  • Ahmad Ghiffari Department of Environmental Science, Graduate School, Universitas Sriwijaya
  • Hamzah Hasyim Fakultas Kesehatan Masyarakat, Universitas Sriwijaya
  • Iskhaq Iskandar Department of Public Health, Faculty of Medicine, Universitas Sriwijaya
  • Muhammad Totong Kamaluddin Faculty of Medicine, Universitas Sriwijaya

Keywords:

SARS-CoV-2, subdistricts, pandemic, transmission, variants of concerns

Abstract

SARS-CoV-2 has spread worldwide after its discovery in Wuhan, China, in December 2019. The number of confirmed illnesses in Indonesia has gradually risen since early March 2020 in Jakarta. Virus containment efforts are ongoing throughout the nation, including in Palembang city. For the first time, a spatial-temporal model of SARS-CoV-2 transmission in Palembang is utilized, as is a patient and environmental profile for all confirmed COVID-19 cases. The data were collected from the Palembang City Health Office website between March 24, 2020, and September 30, 2021. Demographics and confirmed case classification of SARS-CoV-2 positive individuals were used to classify the data. The data gathered is thorough for each of Palembang's 18 districts. Results: A cumulative total of 30,324 confirmed cases were reported in Palembang throughout the study period. There were 1,177 fatalities out of a total of 30,324, or 3.88%. COVID-19 spread throughout Palembang's districts after the first confirmed case. This study is the first to provide detailed demographic and COVID-19 presentation chronology information on confirmed SARS-CoV-2 patients in Palembang. Geographic and temporal data were used to illustrate how the illness spread throughout the district's cities and territory. The introduction of variants of concern may be responsible for the surge in new confirmed cases across all subdistricts. The current Indonesian Task Force constantly utilizes this data to advise on the prospective construction or removal of physical distancing measures and the potential availability of healthcare capacity to contain the pandemic.

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Published

2022-03-01